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Jun 20 - The Delta Variant Could Create “Two Americas” Of COVID, Experts Warn



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 1 month ago '07        #1
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Jun 20 - The Delta Variant Could Create “Two Americas” Of COVID, Experts Warn
 

 

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If you are fully vaccinated, you are most likely to be safe. But in parts of the US where few people have gotten COVID vaccine shots, the Delta variant could trigger renewed deadly surges.

The Delta coronavirus variant, which devastated India and forced the UK to delay lifting its remaining coronavirus restrictions, is now on the rise in the US.

What that means for you will depend on whether you are fully vaccinated and where you live.

Experts say we may be about to see the emergence of “two Americas” of COVID: One with high rates of vaccination where the Delta coronavirus variant poses little threat, and the other with low levels of vaccination that will be vulnerable to renewed deadly surges.

That divide is driven in large part by partisan politics, with vaccination rates highest in liberal cities and lowest in conservative strongholds across the Deep South and in rural areas across the nation.

“I call it two COVID nations,” Peter Hotez, a vaccine researcher at Baylor College of Medicine in Houston, told BuzzFeed News.

Wherever there are low rates of vaccination, the virus will continue to circulate and mutate, increasing the risk that new, more dangerous variants will emerge. With vaccination across most of the world lagging far behind the US, the Delta variant is likely to be followed by others.

The Delta variant, also known as B.1.617.2, was first discovered in India in late 2020 and is thought to have driven that country’s devastating surge in COVID-19, which began in March.

It has since spread to more than 80 countries worldwide, including to the US — where the CDC on Tuesday officially designated it a “variant of concern.”

Data from Public Health England indicate that the Delta variant is between 40% and 60% more transmissible than the Alpha variant, also known as B.1.1.7.

First identified in the UK and now the most common variant in the US, the Alpha variant is in turn much more transmissible than earlier forms of the coronavirus.

So far, the available vaccines seem to be offering good protection against most variants.

But the Delta variant seems able to escape partial immunity to the coronavirus.

Although people who are fully vaccinated still seem to be well protected, those who have only been given one shot of a two-dose vaccine remain more vulnerable.

A study in the UK found that two doses of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine were 88% effective against developing a case of COVID with symptoms from the Delta variant — not much different from the 93% efficacy seen against the Alpha variant.

But after just one dose, the vaccine was only about 33% effective against the Delta variant, compared to more than 50% against Alpha.

It’s unclear how effective natural immunity from a prior infection will be in protecting people against the Delta variant.

There are also hints that the Delta variant may cause more serious disease.

A study of cases in Scotland published this week found that the risk of hospital admission with the Delta variant was roughly doubled compared to people infected with the Alpha variant.

“This is a nasty virus,” John Moore, a virologist at Weill Cornell Medical College in New York, told BuzzFeed News.

With the Delta variant now thought to account for more than 90% of new infections in the UK, and with cases and hospitalizations rising once again, Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced on Tuesday that he will delay the removal of remaining coronavirus restrictions in England, originally planned for June 21, by at least four weeks.

(Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland set their own health rules, but have made similar moves.)

In the US, the Delta variant now seems to be spreading more quickly than the Alpha variant at a similar stage in its climb to dominance, according to data from outbreak.info, a coronavirus tracking project run by researchers at Scripps Research in La Jolla, California.

It’s unclear whether Delta will dominate as quickly and totally as it did in the UK, where it replaced an outbreak driven almost entirely by the Alpha variant.

In the US, a larger number of competing variants are circulating, making it harder to predict what will happen, Bette Korber, a computational biologist at the Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico, told BuzzFeed News.

But she expects Delta to become the most common variant in the US within weeks. “It’s really moving quickly,” Korber said.

Health experts say that the US could largely protect itself against the Delta variant by quickly boosting rates of vaccination, which have slowed in recent months.

But they fear that some people who are not yet vaccinated may look at what happened with the Alpha variant and decide they can afford to wait and see.

In late March, with COVID surging in Michigan and cases starting to rise nationally, CDC director Rochelle Walensky described her sense of “impending doom” about a fourth wave of coronavirus across the US driven by the Alpha strain.

But the surge turned out to be small and short-lived.

Given the expected speed of the Delta variant’s spread, and the fact that one vaccine dose isn’t enough to provide good protection, deciding to delay vaccination is risky.

“Some of those people are going to get a nasty surprise,” Bob Wachter, chair of the Department of Medicine at the University of California, San Francisco, told BuzzFeed News.

Low vaccine uptake across the South and in rural areas across the country makes these areas most vulnerable to the Delta variant.

“I think there’s a decent chance that come winter or fall there will be significant surges and they will almost exclusively strike people who are unvaccinated and strike in regions that have low rates of vaccine uptake,” Wachter said.

But it could be hard to convince people who have so far declined to get vaccinated, given that skepticism seems to be driven in large part by entrenched political allegiances.

According to a CBS News/YouGov poll published this week, only 52% of Republicans said they were partially or fully vaccinated, and 29% said they have no intention of getting a vaccine.

Among Democrats, 77% said they were already vaccinated, and just 5% said they weren’t intending to get the shots.

Vaccine rollout data at the county level also shows a strong relationship to voting in the 2020 presidential election.

“Somehow we have to break this idea that allegiance to conservatism and the Republican Party has to do with not getting vaccinated,” Hotez said.

“It’s really troubling.”
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134 comments
 

 1 month ago '06        #2
bigkilla  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x1
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Honestly.. and I don’t wanna make this conservative/liberal

But at least from what I’ve seen in NYC.. no one really cares anymore. Yea you still see people wearing masks but all that social distancing, not going to public places and etc.. all are gone.

I know they were saying how it’s because people are vaccinated but it’s weird as fu*k how they’re saying there’s a new variant which they really don’t know what’s up with that and just completely disregarded all the rules they had prior.

Wasn’t there an article how most people only took the first shot and never got the second?
+44   

 1 month ago '08        #3
Tredhead 
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Survival of the fittest time will tell
+26   

 1 month ago '04        #4
d.c. supreme  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x1
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ah yes, because of covid it'll become clear there's two americas. it wasn't clear to see at all that the country was polarized before covid, nope... not at all.



we're a very dramatic and hysterical (in the clinical sense) culture.
+76   

 1 month ago '17        #5
Ymmot  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x4
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 bigkilla said
Honestly.. and I don’t wanna make this conservative/liberal

But at least from what I’ve seen in NYC.. no one really cares anymore. Yea you still see people wearing masks but all that social distancing, not going to public places and etc.. all are gone.

I know they were saying how it’s because people are vaccinated but it’s weird as fu*k how they’re saying there’s a new variant which they really don’t know what’s up with that and just completely disregarded all the rules they had prior.

Wasn’t there an article how most people only took the first shot and never got the second?
About 54% of the US population has had at least one dose. About 45% of the US population is fully vaccinated. That means it's only about 9% of people who have only gotten one dose, but that's still a high number, that's about 25 million that have only gotten 1 dose.

 1 month ago '06        #6
LeMar G 
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Let em die

Respectfully
+9   

 1 month ago '17        #7
Ymmot  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x4
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 LeMar G said
Let em die

Respectfully
It'll be funny to see them create conspiracy theories why unvaccinated people are dying at a much higher clip than vaccinated people. I guess they're not praying hard enough.
+6   

 1 month ago '17        #8
Skrr 
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 bigkilla said
Honestly.. and I don’t wanna make this conservative/liberal

But at least from what I’ve seen in NYC.. no one really cares anymore. Yea you still see people wearing masks but all that social distancing, not going to public places and etc.. all are gone.

I know they were saying how it’s because people are vaccinated but it’s weird as fu*k how they’re saying there’s a new variant which they really don’t know what’s up with that and just completely disregarded all the rules they had prior.

Wasn’t there an article how most people only took the first shot and never got the second?
Friend works at a hospital in NYC. NYC covid rates continue to plummet. Mask off breh

Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations continue to fall dramatically. Only a handful of the Covid patients hospitalized this week are here [Sinai] with Covid as their primary diagnosis.
+6   

 1 month ago '07        #9
240ka  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x1
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 Skrr said
Friend works at a hospital in NYC. NYC covid rates continue to plummet. Mask off breh

Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations continue to fall dramatically. Only a handful of the Covid patients hospitalized this week are here [Sinai] with Covid as their primary diagnosis.
For now

 1 month ago '20        #10
KG Da Gawd  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x2
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n*ggas just dont wanna let this sh*t go
+21   

 1 month ago '16        #11
kuul  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x11
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You guys are scaring me.
+3   

 1 month ago '19        #12
Megaman 
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sounds like this was the democrats plan from the beginning. to once again segregate America.

how many times have these supposed experts been proven wrong?

it's so easy to see that this entire thing is a giant money grab.











-5   

 1 month ago '18        #13
Killakaine2525 
Props total: 1960 1 K  Slaps total: 564 564
Shět got fu*ked up so now it’s plan b and wat that is since n*ggas shut up all the Q n*ggas we don’t know sh*t now lol at least they was on it one thing I give them weirdos or not they was close to sumthing
+3   

 1 month ago '18        #14
KdenIII 
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lmao ok

when this one doesn't do sh*t u guys better watch out for the echo variant
+9   

 1 month ago '04        #15
CentsCuZ 
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Most people that haven't gotten the vaccine already got COVID anyway. It's crazy that people don't realize this. The virus was spreading for a year before any vaccine even existed.
+26   

 1 month ago '17        #16
tu calmas  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x1
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 bigkilla said
Honestly.. and I don’t wanna make this conservative/liberal

But at least from what I’ve seen in NYC.. no one really cares anymore. Yea you still see people wearing masks but all that social distancing, not going to public places and etc.. all are gone.

I know they were saying how it’s because people are vaccinated but it’s weird as fu*k how they’re saying there’s a new variant which they really don’t know what’s up with that and just completely disregarded all the rules they had prior.

Wasn’t there an article how most people only took the first shot and never got the second?
The mRNA vaccine is so good it doesn't even matter

This is why US won't have the resurgence issues that Japan, S Korea, UK, and even China are having

The vaccines put out by Moderna, Pfizer, and J&J are just that good, and they are constantly tested against every single new variant that is coming out (yes they have tested the efficacy of these vaccines against the delta variant)

The main issue early on was the production and distribution of these vaccines, which is why they were suggesting that folks would have to wear masks for much longer. That's still an issue in some countries (India), but not here.

Tldr; if you got the vaccine, you are good --- it is honestly unnerving how powerful the mRNA tech is in terms of health applications
+2   

 1 month ago '11        #17
awww  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x6
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I really wonder why y’all don’t realize you’re damned if you take it damned if you don’t. There are going to be a virant the vaccines won’t protect against y’all n*ggas crying bout y’all so vaccined gonna be really pissed off when you have to take booster shots every 2-4 months. Viruses mutate and at this rate this one only gonna mutate stronger.
+17   

 1 month ago '19        #18
Anomic  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x6
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@ was right, covid is forever
+3   

 1 month ago '04        #19
zone3cp 
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 Anomic said
@ was right, covid is forever
It ain’t going no where.....


Mutation
+5   

 1 month ago '16        #20
smokeytheblunt2 
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 SweezyDeuce said
It’s already too late. Fall about to be a crazy time
nobody here wears masks but half the people not wearing them never got the shots…….
+3   

 1 month ago '06        #21
yumflip  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x2
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Big vax energy over here. Mafukkas throw away their lives for less. FreeDumb ain't free.
-6   

 1 month ago '06        #22
bigkilla  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x1
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 tu calmas said
The mRNA vaccine is so good it doesn't even matter

This is why US won't have the resurgence issues that Japan, S Korea, UK, and even China are having

The vaccines put out by Moderna, Pfizer, and J&J are just that good, and they are constantly tested against every single new variant that is coming out (yes they have tested the efficacy of these vaccines against the delta variant)

The main issue early on was the production and distribution of these vaccines, which is why they were suggesting that folks would have to wear masks for much longer. That's still an issue in some countries (India), but not here.

Tldr; if you got the vaccine, you are good --- it is honestly unnerving how powerful the mRNA tech is in terms of health applications
I genuinely don’t know if your post was sarcastic or if you were being legit.
+7   

 1 month ago '18        #23
dogfood2 
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Yeah. One with healthy people and one with fat people who are going to die due to covid. Covid really is the sh*t if you think about it.

Killing all the weak people who ain't doing sh*t healthy with their bodies. fu*k them honestly.

 1 month ago '14        #24
consigliereA 
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IN..

Thread title got me..
+1   

 1 month ago '17        #25
tu calmas  topics gone triple plat - Number 1 spot x1
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 bigkilla said
I genuinely don’t know if your post was sarcastic or if you were being legit.
lol i'm serious; here's a fairly digestible article (although still technical)




Basic point is to get at the direct protein structure of the virus (not smaller aspects that cause variations, but the source), and feed that protein structure to the body's immune system to generate a response & build immunity

Now you're protected from the core virus

You will likely also be safe from the variants, but even if you do get infected, it's not that big of a deal (think along the lines of the common cold... )

So thinking beyond the virus - the application to directly edit source material is almost endless (somewhat scary, but so is every other scientific advancement that we've had)

They've used this to even develop a very promising HIV vaccine.... just think about that


+5   



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