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NFL's Most Loyal Fan Bases

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 NFL's Most Loyal Fan Bases
Old 2 years agoclass of '04 - away - #1
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ghettofied 223 heat pts223 space
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The NFL is America’s favorite professional sports league, but which of its teams has the most loyal and supportive fan base? This is not a straightforward question. A ranking based on attendance would be skewed toward teams that play in more populated metropolitan areas, and a ranking based on profitability or revenues would be biased in favor of teams that are currently enjoying more on-field success.

In our series of fan base analyses across leagues, we adjust for these complicating factors using a revenue premium model of fan equity. The key idea is that we look at team box office revenues relative to team on-field success, market population, stadium capacity, median income and other factors. The first step in our procedure involves the creation of a statistical model that predicts box office revenue as a function of the aforementioned variables. We then compare actual revenues to the revenues predicted by the model. Teams with relatively stronger fan support will have revenues that exceed the predicted values, and teams that under perform have relatively less supportive fan bases. We provide more details on the method here and here.

The top fan base was the Dallas Cowboys. Professor Lewis grew up a Steelers fan in the 1970s so this was a bit of a painful result. Professor Tripathi grew up as a Redskins fan, and is terribly disturbed by the results of the study. What are keys to the Cowboys’ ability to create a passionate and supportive fan base? We think it’s a long legacy of success, a football mad Texas culture and a state of the art stadium. Over the last three seasons (the time period used to calculate fan equity) the Cowboys have played sub .500 football but generated above capacity attendance (at least according to ESPN).

In positions two and three we have the New England Patriots and the New York Jets. New England has an all-around strong fan base, while the Jets are somewhat similar to the Cowboys in that they draw consistently well, regardless of the on-field product. In fourth and fifth place we have the New Orleans Saints and the New York Giants. The Saints are a more recent success story, but the team’s new success combined with limited professional sports options in New Orleans has created a very strong fan base. Two New York teams in the top five is an interesting result when viewed in relation to our college football fan base analyses. New York is (no surprise here) a pro sports town. As an aside, we will be interested to see how much value the Big Ten gains from acquiring a foothold in the NYC market starting in 2014.

At the more unfortunate end of the scale we have a bottom five of Detroit, Tampa Bay, Arizona, Atlanta and Oakland. Detroit, of course, suffers from a relative lack of on-field success and a struggling local economy. But we should note that our method does explicitly control for these factors. It may well be a matter of the Wolverines & Spartans winning the battle for fans against the Lions. Similarly, teams like Atlanta and Tampa Bay may suffer from being located in SEC territory.

We will continue this discussion next week so please check back.

Mike Lewis & Manish Tripathi, Emory University 2013.

https://blogs.emory.edu/s .. 2%80%99s-team/
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Old 2 years agoclass of '06 - away - #2
Kjizzle03 24 heat pts24 space
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if Oakland and the Browns aren't 1 and 2 list is flawed
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Old 2 years agoclass of '07 - on now - #3
Flawless Image 26 heat pts26 space
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dont agree with this at all,Raiders have one of the most loyal fanbases.
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Old 2 years agoclass of '11 - away - #4
Slingy 36 heat pts36 space
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Dallas born and raised. So I'm not surprised. I am surprised the Packers are lower. That's bolgna.
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Old 2 years agoclass of '04 - away - #5
ghettofied 223 heat pts223 space
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Flawless Image said:
dont agree with this at all,Raiders have one of the most loyal fanbases.
Eh, I think the Raiders fan base is quite overrated. The uniforms, the craziness, yes. But when they start to suck............they are gone.
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Old 2 years agoclass of '05 - away - #6
Based_One 65 heat pts65 space
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Browns at 20, Packers at 14 list is invalid
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Old 2 years agoclass of '08 - away - #7
Eagles All Day 57 heat pts57 space
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Eagles at 17

Who else you know reps their team that hard with zero superbowls?

Eagles are in the top 10 most profitable sports organizations in all of sports with no SB wins and they ranked 17

List is basura.
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Old 2 years agoclass of '08 - away - #8
Illuminati 125 heat pts125 space
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bullsh*t buffalo top 3
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Old 2 years agoclass of '04 - away - #9
ghettofied 223 heat pts223 space
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Eagles All Day said:
Eagles at 17

Who else you know reps their team that hard with zero superbowls?

Eagles are in the top 10 most profitable sports organizations in all of sports with no SB wins and they ranked 17

List is basura.
sh*t, your fan base is just like everybody elses when you are losing. I remember that Panthers game last year, that stadium was nearly empty.
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Old 2 years agoclass of '07 - away - #10
Rob De Niro 116 heat pts116 space
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Trash a.ss list
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Old 2 years agoclass of '04 - away - #11
ghettofied 223 heat pts223 space
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[pic - click to view]



Speaking of trash a.ss list of teams
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Old 2 years agoclass of '08 - away - #12
Eagles All Day 57 heat pts57 space
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ghettofied said:
sh*t, your fan base is just like everybody elses when you are losing. I remember that Panthers game last year, that stadium was nearly empty.
30 K people showed up to camp this year coming off a 4-12 season....tell me where else they do that at

It was empty because people were fed up with Reid........
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Old 2 years agoclass of '10 - away - #13
Infamous2o1x 23 heat pts23 space
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Raiders last bullsh*t. I see Raiders sh*t all the time all over the TRI STATE...
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Old 2 years agoclass of '08 - away - #14
M 2 heat pts space
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Packers at 14, yeah right
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Old 2 years agoclass of '04 - away - #15
ghettofied 223 heat pts223 space
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Eagles All Day said:
30 K people showed up to camp this year coming off a 4-12 season....tell me where else they do that at

It was empty because people were fed up with Reid........
Oh sh*t, look excuses. That game is fun, lets play another.
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Old 2 years agoclass of '07 - away - #16
SmooveDude 26 heat pts26 space
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Lions bottom 5? Yea right
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Old 2 years agoclass of '07 - on now - #17
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ghettofied said:
Eh, I think the Raiders fan base is quite overrated. The uniforms, the craziness, yes. But when they start to suck............they are gone.
they always suck
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Old 2 years agoclass of '10 - on now - #18
Agentzer0oo0 188 heat pts188 space
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The key idea is that we look at team box office revenues relative to team on-field success, market population, stadium capacity, median income and other factors. The first step in our procedure involves the creation of a statistical model that predicts box office revenue as a function of the aforementioned variables. We then compare actual revenues to the revenues predicted by the model. Teams with relatively stronger fan support will have revenues that exceed the predicted values, and teams that under perform have relatively less supportive fan bases.



What are keys to the Cowboys’ ability to create a passionate and supportive fan base? We think it’s a long legacy of success, a football mad Texas culture and a state of the art stadium. Over the last three seasons (the time period used to calculate fan equity) the Cowboys have played sub .500 football but generated above capacity attendance (at least according to ESPN).



In positions two and three we have the New England Patriots and the New York Jets. New England has an all-around strong fan base, while the Jets are somewhat similar to the Cowboys in that they draw consistently well, regardless of the on-field product. In fourth and fifth place we have the New Orleans Saints and the New York Giants. The Saints are a more recent success story, but the team’s new success combined with limited professional sports options in New Orleans has created a very strong fan base.
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Old 2 years agoclass of '05 - away - #19
astroblack9 4 heat pts space
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List is a.ss
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Old 2 years agoclass of '05 - away - #20
astroblack9 4 heat pts space
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ghettofied said:
Eh, I think the Raiders fan base is quite overrated. The uniforms, the craziness, yes. But when they start to suck............they are gone.


n*gga, we aint been good in a decade...the fu*k are you talking about??
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