NFL's Most Loyal Fan Bases

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 4 years ago '04        #1
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ghettofied 331 heat pts331
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NFL's Most Loyal Fan Bases
 

 
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The NFL is America’s favorite professional sports league, but which of its teams has the most loyal and supportive fan base? This is not a straightforward question. A ranking based on attendance would be skewed toward teams that play in more populated metropolitan areas, and a ranking based on profitability or revenues would be biased in favor of teams that are currently enjoying more on-field success.

In our series of fan base analyses across leagues, we adjust for these complicating factors using a revenue premium model of fan equity. The key idea is that we look at team box office revenues relative to team on-field success, market population, stadium capacity, median income and other factors. The first step in our procedure involves the creation of a statistical model that predicts box office revenue as a function of the aforementioned variables. We then compare actual revenues to the revenues predicted by the model. Teams with relatively stronger fan support will have revenues that exceed the predicted values, and teams that under perform have relatively less supportive fan bases. We provide more details on the method here and here.

The top fan base was the Dallas Cowboys. Professor Lewis grew up a Steelers fan in the 1970s so this was a bit of a painful result. Professor Tripathi grew up as a Redskins fan, and is terribly disturbed by the results of the study. What are keys to the Cowboys’ ability to create a passionate and supportive fan base? We think it’s a long legacy of success, a football mad Texas culture and a state of the art stadium. Over the last three seasons (the time period used to calculate fan equity) the Cowboys have played sub .500 football but generated above capacity attendance (at least according to ESPN).

In positions two and three we have the New England Patriots and the New York Jets. New England has an all-around strong fan base, while the Jets are somewhat similar to the Cowboys in that they draw consistently well, regardless of the on-field product. In fourth and fifth place we have the New Orleans Saints and the New York Giants. The Saints are a more recent success story, but the team’s new success combined with limited professional sports options in New Orleans has created a very strong fan base. Two New York teams in the top five is an interesting result when viewed in relation to our college football fan base analyses. New York is (no surprise here) a pro sports town. As an aside, we will be interested to see how much value the Big Ten gains from acquiring a foothold in the NYC market starting in 2014.

At the more unfortunate end of the scale we have a bottom five of Detroit, Tampa Bay, Arizona, Atlanta and Oakland. Detroit, of course, suffers from a relative lack of on-field success and a struggling local economy. But we should note that our method does explicitly control for these factors. It may well be a matter of the Wolverines & Spartans winning the battle for fans against the Lions. Similarly, teams like Atlanta and Tampa Bay may suffer from being located in SEC territory.

We will continue this discussion next week so please check back.

Mike Lewis & Manish Tripathi, Emory University 2013.

visit this link https://blogs.emory.edu/s .. 2%80%99s-team/

217 comments for "NFL's Most Loyal Fan Bases"

 4 years ago '06        #2
Kjizzle03 35 heat pts35
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if Oakland and the Browns aren't 1 and 2 list is flawed




  200 - 99 STRK: 1 l in a row WIN PCT: 66% 6 (+2) 
  Career: | Aug 17: 408-255, Rank #9 | Aug 16: 530-318, Rank #23 | Aug 15: 723-350, Rank #21 | Aug 14: 830-506, Rank #15 | Aug 13: 509-349, Rank #8 | Aug 12: 209-112, Rank #25 | Aug 11: 12-7, Rank #173 | Aug 10: 857-514, Rank #19 | Aug 09: 168-132, Rank #58 | Aug 08: 988-553, Rank #6 *
 4 years ago '07        #3
I bleed GREEN 34 heat pts34
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dont agree with this at all,Raiders have one of the most loyal fanbases.
 4 years ago '11        #4
Slingy 53 heat pts53
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Dallas born and raised. So I'm not surprised. I am surprised the Packers are lower. That's bolgna.
 4 years ago '04        #5
ghettofied 331 heat pts331 OP
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 Flawless Image said:
dont agree with this at all,Raiders have one of the most loyal fanbases.
Eh, I think the Raiders fan base is quite overrated. The uniforms, the craziness, yes. But when they start to suck............they are gone.
 4 years ago '05        #6
Based_One 79 heat pts79
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Browns at 20, Packers at 14 list is invalid
 4 years ago '08        #7
Eagles All Day 86 heat pts86
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Eagles at 17

Who else you know reps their team that hard with zero superbowls?

Eagles are in the top 10 most profitable sports organizations in all of sports with no SB wins and they ranked 17

List is basura.
 4 years ago '08        #8
Illuminati 179 heat pts179
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bullsh*t buffalo top 3
 4 years ago '04        #9
ghettofied 331 heat pts331 OP
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 Eagles All Day said:
Eagles at 17

Who else you know reps their team that hard with zero superbowls?

Eagles are in the top 10 most profitable sports organizations in all of sports with no SB wins and they ranked 17

List is basura.
sh*t, your fan base is just like everybody elses when you are losing. I remember that Panthers game last year, that stadium was nearly empty.
 4 years ago '07        #10
Rob De Niro 120 heat pts120
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Trash a.ss list
 4 years ago '04        #11
ghettofied 331 heat pts331 OP
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[pic - click to view]



Speaking of trash a.ss list of teams
 4 years ago '08        #12
Eagles All Day 86 heat pts86
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 ghettofied said:
sh*t, your fan base is just like everybody elses when you are losing. I remember that Panthers game last year, that stadium was nearly empty.
30 K people showed up to camp this year coming off a 4-12 season....tell me where else they do that at

It was empty because people were fed up with Reid........
 4 years ago '10        #13
Infamous2o1x 23 heat pts23
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Raiders last bullsh*t. I see Raiders sh*t all the time all over the TRI STATE...
 4 years ago '08        #14
M 2 heat pts
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Packers at 14, yeah right
 4 years ago '04        #15
ghettofied 331 heat pts331 OP
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 Eagles All Day said:
30 K people showed up to camp this year coming off a 4-12 season....tell me where else they do that at

It was empty because people were fed up with Reid........
Oh sh*t, look excuses. That game is fun, lets play another.
 08-15-2013, 11:44 AM         #16
SmooveDude 
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Lions bottom 5? Yea right
 4 years ago '07        #17
I bleed GREEN 34 heat pts34
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 ghettofied said:
Eh, I think the Raiders fan base is quite overrated. The uniforms, the craziness, yes. But when they start to suck............they are gone.
they always suck
 4 years ago '10        #18
Agentzer0oo0 207 heat pts207
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The key idea is that we look at team box office revenues relative to team on-field success, market population, stadium capacity, median income and other factors. The first step in our procedure involves the creation of a statistical model that predicts box office revenue as a function of the aforementioned variables. We then compare actual revenues to the revenues predicted by the model. Teams with relatively stronger fan support will have revenues that exceed the predicted values, and teams that under perform have relatively less supportive fan bases.



What are keys to the Cowboys’ ability to create a passionate and supportive fan base? We think it’s a long legacy of success, a football mad Texas culture and a state of the art stadium. Over the last three seasons (the time period used to calculate fan equity) the Cowboys have played sub .500 football but generated above capacity attendance (at least according to ESPN).



In positions two and three we have the New England Patriots and the New York Jets. New England has an all-around strong fan base, while the Jets are somewhat similar to the Cowboys in that they draw consistently well, regardless of the on-field product. In fourth and fifth place we have the New Orleans Saints and the New York Giants. The Saints are a more recent success story, but the team’s new success combined with limited professional sports options in New Orleans has created a very strong fan base.
 4 years ago '05        #19
astroblack9 4 heat pts
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List is a.ss
 4 years ago '05        #20
astroblack9 4 heat pts
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 ghettofied said:
Eh, I think the Raiders fan base is quite overrated. The uniforms, the craziness, yes. But when they start to suck............they are gone.


n*gga, we aint been good in a decade...the fu*k are you talking about??
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