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Aug 14 - Yield Curve Inverts in U.K, U.S Renewing Recession Fears


 
 
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 6 days ago '16        #1
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Boogersugar 83 heat pts83
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Aug 14 - Yield Curve Inverts in U.K, U.S Renewing Recession Fears
 

 
 Yield curves invert in US, UK as pessimism spreads

The stream of investors seeking refuge in the safest parts of the market has triggered yet another recession warning, with yield curves inverting from the U.S. to the U.K.

The gap between two- and 10-year yields dropped below zero on both sides of the Atlantic after a wave of soft economic data globally. Weaker-than-forecast Chinese retail sales and industrial output set the mood for the markets, with data later in the day showing Germany’s economy contracted, adding to the gloom.

This move has been a long time coming, and reflects a significant escalation of growth concerns. The two-to-10-year curve has been on a gradual flattening trend for more than two years on rising doubts about the health of the global economy and weak inflation. Another widely watched recession indicator, the yield difference between three-month and 10-year Treasuries, inverted in March and has been negative much of the time since.

“Where the U.S. leads, the U.K. follows,” said Adam Dent, U.K. rates strategist at Banco Santander SA. “The market has previously been very reluctant to abandon the idea that rates will eventually normalize.”

The curve isn’t the only thing flashing high alert. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s index showing the probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months is close to its highest level since the global financial crisis, at around 31%.
Historically the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's rating is very conservative so I'd guess the chances are more like 50/50 or worse...
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 6 days ago '16        #2
Boogersugar 83 heat pts83 OP
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 6 days ago '05        #3
Tha TC 71 heat pts71
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 6 days ago '11        #4
indagame 29 heat pts29
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I feel like I read about this earlier this year too. I'll have to check out these links after work.

 6 days ago '15        #5
naledgestate 
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Im buying all the dips.

In b4 Trump phaggots start bi*ching about patriotism and "i will always support America" now that we know sh*t is grinding to a hault.

Buying stocks on the cheap by this time next year or later. While Trump will be on Twitter crying about Obama and the Fed.

Cant wait.


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